Offers
5 recorded · 4 live from 4 buyers. Derived economics are recomputed on every read, never stored.
Comparison
Modeled
| # | Buyer | Type | Headline | Risk-adjusted | Time-adjusted | Close prob. | Expected proceeds | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arcadia AuctionsAug 29, 2026 · closes in 119d | IOI | $27.5M | $25.3M | $24.4M | 70% | — | |
| 2 | Vantage Retail CloudSep 2, 2026 · closes in 109d | IOI | $26M | $24.8M | $23.9M | 60% | — | |
| 3 | Lakeshore CommerceAug 7, 2026 · closes in 149d | Preliminary indication | $22.5M | $22.5M | $21.5M | 65% | — | |
| 4 | Beacon Used CarsJul 12, 2026 · no close date | Verbal interest | $12M | $12M | $12M | 30% | — | |
| — | Meridian Automotive GroupSep 5, 2026 · closes in 179d | Verbal interest | — | — | — | 45% | — |
Model assumptions
Discount rate 12% · no shareholder ownership set · no transaction costs applied. Set them with the rate, ownership and costs query parameters. These are modelling choices, not facts about the business.
Competitive tension
ModeledCompeting buyers
4
A process, not a negotiation
Best live
$24.4M
Time-adjusted
Spread to runner-up
$455.9K
1.9% ahead
Caveats
Arcadia Auctions · IOI
- —Earnout of 5500000 weighted at 60% — a human assumption, not a term.
- —No shareholder ownership percentage supplied — proceeds are unavailable.
Vantage Retail Cloud · IOI
- —Earnout of 2500000 weighted at 50% — a human assumption, not a term.
- —No shareholder ownership percentage supplied — proceeds are unavailable.
Lakeshore Commerce · Preliminary indication
- —No shareholder ownership percentage supplied — proceeds are unavailable.
Beacon Used Cars · Verbal interest
- —No expected close date — no time discount applied.
- —No shareholder ownership percentage supplied — proceeds are unavailable.
Meridian Automotive Group · Verbal interest
- —No consideration components recorded — nothing to compare.
Deal structures
All scenariosArcadia IOI as written35% · risk 35
Arcadia — countered30% · risk 30
Lakeshore all-cash at the top of range10% · risk 40
Solstice recapitalisation5% · risk 55
Vantage IOI as written20% · risk 45